
位置:中游情绪:中性参考度:1/10
高盛最新全球股票投资策略展望指出,2026年全球股市牛市趋势或进一步延伸,盈利增长态势将持续,投资回报不再局限于美国科技股。该行仍看好2026年股市,但预计指数回报率低于2025年水平。由Peter Oppenheimer领导的策略团队预测,2026年全球股票平均价格涨幅约13%,含股息则接近15%,增长主要由企业盈利驱动,而非估值扩张。
团队认为,基于全球经济持续扩张的宏观预测及美联储适度宽松政策预期,即便股市估值处于高位,若无经济衰退,股市不太可能显著下跌或进入熊市。当前多元化投资呼声日益高涨,2025年美国股票长期主导地位面临终结,欧洲、中国及更广泛亚洲市场以美元计价的回报均超美国市场。
投资范围扩大伴随不同领域机会增多。高盛指出,增长型投资中美国仍领先,但Ļ..多元化策略发挥作用,行业收益多样化,非科技类行业表现强劲。股票相关性下降,促使2026年更注重个体收益创造。
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