节点:中游(冶炼、中间品)位置:中游情绪:利空参考度:5/10


行业统计数据显示,受海外需求回升驱动,2025年11月印度铁石及球团矿出口量环比大幅增长27.2%至276万吨。其中,精粉与块矿出口合计251万吨,较10月的196万吨显著提升;球团出口25万吨,环比增加4万吨。同比维度下,11月出口量激增51.6%;2025年1-11月累计出口量达3775万吨,同比增长5%。该数据为本财年以来最高月度出口值,此前峰值为2025年3月的313万吨。

出口增长得益于多重利好叠加:海运铁矿石基准品位由62%Fe下调至61%Fe,印度矿性价比优势凸显;价格上行及海外询盘稳定支撑交易活跃度;当月出口以矿商主导,单一矿山货物普遍获溢价;西海岸出口商块矿运输量亦有所增加。中国为印度矿最大进口国,11月进口量179万吨;马来西亚次之,进口11万吨。头部出口商Rungta Mines与Vedanta集团11月出口表现突出,出货量显著增长。尽管海运市场低品位精粉折扣收窄,但精粉招标仍获市场积极响应。

核心驱动因素
中国补库需求旺盛:中国买家为...块矿。单一矿山货物因品质稳定获买家认可,实现溢价成交。

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